NKP Podhale 1-1 Stal Stalowa Wola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 17 Aug 2025

NKP Podhale
1-1 HT 0-1
Stal Stalowa Wola
📅17/08/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Poland - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

NKP Podhale vs Stal Stalowa Wola Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.46
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.24
2-3 Goals
44%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
3.23
6+ Goals
8%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 28% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
37%
+6.5pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.3pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.8pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

NKP Podhale v Stal Stalowa Wola — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NKP Podhale EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Stal Stalowa Wola EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.9
POST-MATCH NKP Podhale vs Stal Stalowa Wola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NKP Podhale and Stal Stalowa Wola shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was NKP Podhale at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of NKP Podhale vs Stal Stalowa Wola?

NKP Podhale 1-1 Stal Stalowa Wola in the Poland - 2nd Division on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NKP Podhale vs Stal Stalowa Wola?

Before kick-off our model rated a NKP Podhale win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split NKP Podhale 44%, draw 23%, Stal Stalowa Wola 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (NKP Podhale) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (NKP Podhale) ✓ Under 2.5
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