Kalisz 1-3 Hutnik Krakow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.0
2-3 Goals
43%
1.71
4-5 Goals
21%
3.45
6+ Goals
8%
14.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.6pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.5pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+5.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-1.2pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kalisz EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Hutnik Krakow EU Bookmakers 34%
-6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
1.31/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.21
-11% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +17%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
324 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kalisz
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Hutnik Krakow
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
11.05.2025 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow 0-2 HT 0-1 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
11.10.2024 Kalisz Kalisz 1-1 HT 1-1 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow POL2
06.04.2024 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow 2-1 HT 1-1 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
22.09.2023 Kalisz Kalisz 3-0 HT 3-0 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow POL2
06.05.2023 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow 0-1 HT 0-0 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
02.10.2022 Kalisz Kalisz 2-1 HT 1-0 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow POL2
POST-MATCH Kalisz vs Hutnik Krakow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hutnik Krakow got the better of Kalisz 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (41% / 24% / 36%) promised a tight game; Hutnik Krakow found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kalisz had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kalisz and 0.67 for Hutnik Krakow.

What was the final score of Kalisz vs Hutnik Krakow?

Kalisz 1-3 Hutnik Krakow in the Poland - 2nd Division on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kalisz vs Hutnik Krakow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kalisz win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kalisz 41%, draw 24%, Hutnik Krakow 36%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kalisz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kalisz) ✓ BTTS Yes
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