Texoma 0-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
2.99
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
46%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
22%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
30%
-6.3pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.1pp
47%
Away Win
44%
+3.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.7pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Texoma EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves EU Bookmakers 48%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
0.85/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.63
+12% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +19%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
241 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 80%
13.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
11.1 Crosses 18.1
3.7 Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Texoma
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.26 xG 1.21
57% Ball Possession 43%
5 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 1
178 Passes 113
66% Pass Accuracy 57%
6 Box Touches 16
11 Crosses 13
6 Yellow Cards 5
17.07.2025 Chattanooga Red Wolves Chattanooga Red Wolves 1-1 HT 1-0 Texoma USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Texoma
0-1
AWAY Chattanooga Red Wolves
0.99 xG 1.61
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
365 Passes 190
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
11 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Texoma vs Chattanooga Red Wolves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chattanooga Red Wolves edged past Texoma 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chattanooga Red Wolves as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Texoma had 62% of the ball to Chattanooga Red Wolves's 38%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.99 to 1.61.

What was the final score of Texoma vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

Texoma 0-1 Chattanooga Red Wolves in the USA - USL League 1 on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Texoma vs Chattanooga Red Wolves?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chattanooga Red Wolves win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Texoma 24%, draw 30%, Chattanooga Red Wolves 47%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chattanooga Red Wolves), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chattanooga Red Wolves) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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