One Knoxville 1-0 Union Omaha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 17 Aug 2025

📅17/08/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
24%
2.83
Away
39%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.67
Over 2.5
49%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
54%
4-5 Goals
10%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
23%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.5pp
24%
Draw
32%
-8.2pp
39%
Away Win
32%
+6.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.5pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME One Knoxville EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Omaha EU Bookmakers 36%
-22% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +16%
1.04/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.19
-35% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
337 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
17.7 Crosses 18.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME One Knoxville
0W-1D-4L
AWAY Union Omaha
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
0.92 xG 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
334 Passes 278
75% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
22.09.2024 Union Omaha Union Omaha 1-0 HT 1-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
13.04.2024 One Knoxville One Knoxville 0-1 HT 0-0 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
06.08.2023 Union Omaha Union Omaha 3-1 HT 1-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
19.07.2023 One Knoxville One Knoxville 1-2 HT 1-1 Union Omaha Union Omaha USL1
22.06.2023 Union Omaha Union Omaha 1-1 HT 0-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME One Knoxville
1-0
AWAY Union Omaha
1.23 xG 1.48
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 12
219 Passes 291
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 34
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH One Knoxville vs Union Omaha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

One Knoxville nicked a narrow win over Union Omaha 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 24% / 39% — and on the day One Knoxville made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, One Knoxville had 43% of the ball to Union Omaha's 57%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 1.23 to 1.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Union Omaha led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for One Knoxville and 1.60 for Union Omaha.

What was the final score of One Knoxville vs Union Omaha?

One Knoxville 1-0 Union Omaha in the USA - USL League 1 on 17/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for One Knoxville vs Union Omaha?

Before kick-off our model rated an Union Omaha win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split One Knoxville 37%, draw 24%, Union Omaha 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Union Omaha) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Omaha) ✓ Under 2.5
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