Leiknir Reykjavik 6-1 AEgir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 17 Aug 2026

📅17/08/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
36%
Over Pick
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.49
No
38%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
39%
4-5
28%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
59%
Home Win
63%
-3.9pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.1pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.8pp
62%
BTTS Yes
63%
-0.8pp
38%
BTTS No
37%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leiknir Reykjavik The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY AEgir The Market 21%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
2.36/1.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/2.89
-8% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
410 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 0%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leiknir Reykjavik
3W-0D-0L
AWAY AEgir
3.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
68% Ball Possession 32%
12 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.06.2026 AEgir AEgir 0-3 HT 0-0 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL1
16.09.2023 AEgir AEgir 0-5 HT 0-2 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL1
12.07.2023 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 3-2 HT 1-2 AEgir AEgir İZL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leiknir Reykjavik
6-1
AWAY AEgir
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Leiknir Reykjavik vs AEgir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leiknir Reykjavik swept aside AEgir 6-1. Half-time: 4-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Leiknir Reykjavik as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 16-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Leiknir Reykjavik had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.67 goals for Leiknir Reykjavik and 0.67 for AEgir.

What was the final score of Leiknir Reykjavik vs AEgir?

Leiknir Reykjavik 6-1 AEgir in the Iceland - 1st Division on 17/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leiknir Reykjavik vs AEgir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leiknir Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Leiknir Reykjavik 59%, draw 20%, AEgir 21%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leiknir Reykjavik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leiknir Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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