Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers Prediction, Probabilities & Odds — USA - Major League, 17 Aug 2026

Chicago Fire
vs
Portland Timbers
📅17/08/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
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USA - Major League – 2026

Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
58%
1.53
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
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Both Teams to Score
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Total Goals
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Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
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Chicago Fire v Portland Timbers — Team-Based Signals

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iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
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Team-Based Signals — members only
The why behind every prediction: how each side performs against the bookmaker, expected goals, attack & defence versus the league, and the on-pitch signals below.
  • Team Performance vs Market
  • Expected Goals — scored / conceded
  • Attack / Defense vs League Average
  • Possession · Total Shots · Shots on Target
  • Corners · Passes · Box Touches · Crosses · Cards
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Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chicago Fire
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Portland Timbers
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.94 xG 1.69
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
313 Passes 379
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.06.2023 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 1-2 HT 1-1 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
15.08.2019 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 3-2 HT 2-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
01.04.2018 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 2-2 HT 0-1 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
06.07.2017 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 2-2 HT 1-1 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
29.05.2016 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 1-1 HT 1-1 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers ABD
08.08.2015 Portland Timbers Portland Timbers 1-0 HT 0-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
COMMENT Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers

Both teams have scored in 4 of Chicago Fire's last 5 home league games.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portland Timbers lead the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Chicago Fire and 1.67 for Portland Timbers.

When do Chicago Fire and Portland Timbers play?

Chicago Fire play Portland Timbers in the USA - Major League on 17/08/2026, kick-off 01:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).

Who is predicted to win Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers?

Our model's prediction for Chicago Fire vs Portland Timbers is a Chicago Fire win at about 58% probability, priced 1.53 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is Chicago Fire 58%, draw 22%, Portland Timbers 20%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.

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