17/08/2026
·
01:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Unlock the Analysis Engine
One clear DECISION per match — recommended pick, stake and edge confidence. Create a free account and the whole board opens: every market, every match, no limits. Every finished match is free to review.
New York City FC v Philadelphia Union — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
New York City FC
4W-0D-2L
AWAY
Philadelphia Union
1.17
Avg Goals (FT)
1.33
1.63
xG
1.71
54%
Ball Possession
46%
12
Total Shots
17
6
Shots on Target
5
6
Corners
7
373
Passes
300
78%
Pass Accuracy
76%
23
Box Touches
28
14
Crosses
27
2
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
COMMENT
New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union
iddaakolik Match Comment — summary & quick answers
Philadelphia Union have lost 4 of their last 5 away league games.
Across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York City FC have the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for New York City FC and 1.33 for Philadelphia Union.
When do New York City FC and Philadelphia Union play?
New York City FC play Philadelphia Union in the USA - Major League on 17/08/2026, kick-off 01:00 (Istanbul · GMT+3).
Who is predicted to win New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union?
Our model's prediction for New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union is a New York City FC win at about 42% probability, priced 2.47 at EU bookmakers. The full match-result split is New York City FC 42%, draw 24%, Philadelphia Union 34%. These are probability estimates, not certainties — the most likely outcome still loses much of the time.
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
ABD
More USA - Major League
17 Aug 2026