New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union Prediction — Model Probabilities
New York City FC v Philadelphia Union — Team-Based Signals
New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
New York City FC 1-5 Philadelphia Union — Actual Match Statistics
Philadelphia Union cruised past New York City FC 5-1 on the road. Half-time: 1-3. A 6-goal game — the defences never settled.
Our pre-match lean was New York City FC at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (62%) landed.
On the day, possession split 64% to 36% in New York City FC's favour, shots finished 26-12, expected goals 3.11 to 1.76 — by the quality of chances, New York City FC deserved more.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Philadelphia Union led the recent series with 5 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for New York City FC against 2.33 for Philadelphia Union.
New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union Result & Final Score
New York City FC 1 - 5 Philadelphia Union in the USA - Major League on 19/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a New York City FC win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split New York City FC 54%, draw 23%, Philadelphia Union 23%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (New York City FC) went the other way.