Atlanta United 2-2 Inter Miami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 19 Sep 2024

📅19/09/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
38%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.61
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.39
No
40%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
6.05
2-3 Goals
39%
2.08
4-5 Goals
27%
2.56
6+ Goals
12%
5.71
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
47%
-8.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
38%
Away Win
30%
+8.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.3pp
60%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.0pp
40%
BTTS No
32%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlanta United EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 33%
-4% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +23%
1.54/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.34
+21% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
371 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 82%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
19.1 Crosses 12.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlanta United
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Inter Miami
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.06 xG 1.49
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
414 Passes 400
87% Pass Accuracy 84%
36 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.05.2024 Inter Miami Inter Miami 1-3 HT 0-1 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
17.09.2023 Atlanta United Atlanta United 5-2 HT 3-1 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
26.07.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 4-0 HT 3-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United CONLK
07.05.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-1 HT 0-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
19.06.2022 Atlanta United Atlanta United 2-0 HT 1-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
24.04.2022 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-1 HT 1-1 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atlanta United
2-2
AWAY Inter Miami
2.23 xG 1.76
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
390 Passes 432
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
34 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atlanta United vs Inter Miami
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlanta United and Inter Miami couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Atlanta United had 48% of the ball to Inter Miami's 52%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 2.23 to 1.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Atlanta United and 1.83 for Inter Miami.

What was the final score of Atlanta United vs Inter Miami?

Atlanta United 2-2 Inter Miami in the USA - Major League on 19/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlanta United vs Inter Miami?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atlanta United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Atlanta United 38%, draw 24%, Inter Miami 38%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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