Orlando City 2-0 Charlotte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 19 Sep 2024

📅19/09/2024 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
32%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.93
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.15
6+ Goals
14%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.22
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.25
X/1
15%
4.12
X/2
10%
9.18
X/X
11%
5.41
2/1
8%
22.3
2/2
15%
6.73
2/X
7%
14.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
54%
-12.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.5pp
32%
Away Win
22%
+10.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.9pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orlando City EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlotte EU Bookmakers 25%
+1% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.79/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.50
+11% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
423 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 80%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.0
17.9 Crosses 16.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orlando City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Charlotte
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.25 xG 0.98
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
354 Passes 327
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.06.2024 Charlotte Charlotte 2-2 HT 1-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
31.08.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 1-1 HT 0-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
10.05.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 1-0 HT 0-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABDK
19.03.2023 Orlando City Orlando City 1-2 HT 0-2 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
22.08.2022 Charlotte Charlotte 1-2 HT 0-0 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
01.05.2022 Orlando City Orlando City 2-1 HT 2-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orlando City
2-0
AWAY Charlotte
1.29 xG 0.21
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
465 Passes 314
89% Pass Accuracy 81%
28 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Orlando City vs Charlotte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando City beat Charlotte 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Orlando City as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Orlando City had 58% of the ball to Charlotte's 42%, shots finished 12-4, expected goals 1.29 to 0.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Orlando City and 1.33 for Charlotte.

What was the final score of Orlando City vs Charlotte?

Orlando City 2-0 Charlotte in the USA - Major League on 19/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orlando City vs Charlotte?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Orlando City 41%, draw 27%, Charlotte 32%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Orlando City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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