New England Revolution 2-2 CF Montreal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 19 Sep 2024

📅19/09/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
31%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.29
Over 2.5
52%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.6
No
51%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.72
2-3 Goals
40%
1.92
4-5 Goals
23%
2.84
6+ Goals
12%
7.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.1
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.2
X/1
13%
4.18
X/2
11%
9.86
X/X
13%
5.95
2/1
8%
20.75
2/2
11%
6.84
2/X
5%
14.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
56%
-11.6pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.7pp
31%
Away Win
21%
+9.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
40%
+7.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
60%
-7.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.9pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New England Revolution EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY CF Montreal EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.62/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.63
-3% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
22.4 Crosses 15.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New England Revolution
3W-0D-3L
AWAY CF Montreal
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.38 xG 1.41
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
386 Passes 428
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
20 Box Touches 27
14 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 CF Montreal CF Montreal 0-5 HT 0-2 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
27.08.2023 CF Montreal CF Montreal 1-0 HT 0-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
09.04.2023 New England Revolution New England Revolution 4-0 HT 2-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
18.09.2022 New England Revolution New England Revolution 0-1 HT 0-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
21.08.2022 CF Montreal CF Montreal 4-0 HT 2-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
30.09.2021 CF Montreal CF Montreal 1-4 HT 1-3 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New England Revolution
2-2
AWAY CF Montreal
1.45 xG 0.37
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 8
438 Passes 286
89% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH New England Revolution vs CF Montreal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New England Revolution and CF Montreal shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was New England Revolution at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, New England Revolution had 56% of the ball to CF Montreal's 44%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.45 to 0.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for New England Revolution and 1.17 for CF Montreal.

What was the final score of New England Revolution vs CF Montreal?

New England Revolution 2-2 CF Montreal in the USA - Major League on 19/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New England Revolution vs CF Montreal?

Before kick-off our model rated a New England Revolution win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split New England Revolution 45%, draw 24%, CF Montreal 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (New England Revolution), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (New England Revolution) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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