Toronto FC 0-2 Columbus Crew — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 19 Sep 2024

📅19/09/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
43%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.53
No
46%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.33
2-3 Goals
37%
1.88
4-5 Goals
27%
2.97
6+ Goals
12%
8.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.3pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.4pp
44%
Away Win
42%
+2.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
61%
-7.7pp
46%
BTTS No
39%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Toronto FC EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 45%
-4% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.15/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.51
+5% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / -10%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 83%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
15.5 Crosses 13.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Toronto FC
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Columbus Crew
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.99 xG 1.54
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
390 Passes 408
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
25 Box Touches 28
12 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.07.2024 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 4-0 HT 1-0 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
27.08.2023 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 2-0 HT 1-0 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
12.03.2023 Toronto FC Toronto FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
30.06.2022 Toronto FC Toronto FC 1-2 HT 0-2 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
12.03.2022 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 2-1 HT 0-1 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
29.05.2021 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 2-1 HT 2-0 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Toronto FC
0-2
AWAY Columbus Crew
0.91 xG 1.15
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
421 Passes 423
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
21 Box Touches 9
13 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Columbus Crew got the better of Toronto FC 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Columbus Crew as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Toronto FC had 50% of the ball to Columbus Crew's 50%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 0.91 to 1.15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Columbus Crew led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Toronto FC and 2.17 for Columbus Crew.

What was the final score of Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew?

Toronto FC 0-2 Columbus Crew in the USA - Major League on 19/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Toronto FC vs Columbus Crew?

Before kick-off our model rated an Columbus Crew win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Toronto FC 34%, draw 23%, Columbus Crew 44%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Columbus Crew) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Columbus Crew) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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