Inter Miami 1-3 Atlanta United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 30 May 2024

Inter Miami
1-3 HT 0-1
Atlanta United
📅30/05/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

Inter Miami vs Atlanta United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.98
Over 2.5
56%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.43
No
48%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
7.45
2-3 Goals
38%
2.25
4-5 Goals
29%
2.43
6+ Goals
12%
4.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
62%
-6.7pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.5pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+3.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
30%
+13.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
70%
-13.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
66%
-13.4pp
48%
BTTS No
34%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Inter Miami v Atlanta United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlanta United EU Bookmakers 22%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -9%
1.86/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.70
+8% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
400 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 81%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
11.2 Crosses 16.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2

Inter Miami vs Atlanta United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Miami
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Atlanta United
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.70 xG 1.67
46% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
344 Passes 424
82% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 32
8 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.09.2023 Atlanta United Atlanta United 5-2 HT 3-1 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
26.07.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 4-0 HT 3-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United CONLK
07.05.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-1 HT 0-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
19.06.2022 Atlanta United Atlanta United 2-0 HT 1-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
24.04.2022 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-1 HT 1-1 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
28.10.2021 Atlanta United Atlanta United 2-1 HT 0-1 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD

Inter Miami 1-3 Atlanta United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Miami
1-3
AWAY Atlanta United
0.67 xG 3.63
61% Ball Possession 39%
12 Total Shots 25
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
574 Passes 351
91% Pass Accuracy 87%
22 Box Touches 44
18 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Inter Miami vs Atlanta United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlanta United beat Inter Miami 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Inter Miami at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Inter Miami had 61% of the ball to Atlanta United's 39%, shots finished 12-25, expected goals 0.67 to 3.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Inter Miami and 1.83 for Atlanta United.

What was the final score of Inter Miami vs Atlanta United?

Inter Miami 1-3 Atlanta United in the USA - Major League on 30/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Miami vs Atlanta United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Miami win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Inter Miami 55%, draw 23%, Atlanta United 22%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Inter Miami) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inter Miami) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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