CF Montreal vs DC United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CF Montreal v DC United — Team-Based Signals
CF Montreal vs DC United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
DC United
CONLK
2-2
HT 1-0
CF Montreal
ABD
0-1
HT 0-0
DC United
ABD
1-0
HT 1-0
DC United
ABD
1-2
HT 0-2
CF Montreal
ABD
CF Montreal 4-2 DC United — Actual Match Statistics
CF Montreal beat DC United 4-2. Half-time: 3-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and on the day CF Montreal made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, CF Montreal had 54% of the ball to DC United's 46%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 2.42 to 1.39.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, DC United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for CF Montreal and 1.00 for DC United.
What was the final score of CF Montreal vs DC United?
CF Montreal 4-2 DC United in the USA - Major League on 30/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CF Montreal vs DC United?
Before kick-off our model rated an DC United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split CF Montreal 35%, draw 28%, DC United 37%. The final score 4-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.