Philadelphia Union 0-0 Toronto FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 30 May 2024

Philadelphia Union
0-0 HT 0-0
Toronto FC
📅30/05/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
25%
4.56
2-3 Goals
42%
1.9
4-5 Goals
24%
2.89
6+ Goals
9%
8.27
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.56 — our 25% vs market 17.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
56%
-4.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.9pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Philadelphia Union v Toronto FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Philadelphia Union EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Toronto FC EU Bookmakers 23%
+3% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.98/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.93
+14% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 79%
26.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
19.4 Crosses 11.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Philadelphia Union
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Toronto FC
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
2.24 xG 1.09
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
319 Passes 428
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
31 Box Touches 26
25 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
31.08.2023 Toronto FC Toronto FC 3-1 HT 1-1 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
23.04.2023 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 4-2 HT 3-0 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
09.10.2022 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 4-0 HT 2-0 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
17.04.2022 Toronto FC Toronto FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
28.10.2021 Toronto FC Toronto FC 2-2 HT 0-1 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
05.08.2021 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 3-0 HT 3-0 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD

Philadelphia Union 0-0 Toronto FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Philadelphia Union
0-0
AWAY Toronto FC
0.72 xG 1.21
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
404 Passes 428
85% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Philadelphia Union and Toronto FC played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Philadelphia Union at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Philadelphia Union had 49% of the ball to Toronto FC's 51%, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 0.72 to 1.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Philadelphia Union had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Philadelphia Union and 1.50 for Toronto FC.

What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC?

Philadelphia Union 0-0 Toronto FC in the USA - Major League on 30/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Philadelphia Union vs Toronto FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Philadelphia Union win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Philadelphia Union 51%, draw 25%, Toronto FC 23%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Philadelphia Union) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Philadelphia Union) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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