Houston Dynamo 3-1 Colorado Rapids — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 30 May 2024

📅30/05/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.23
Over 2.5
51%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.56
2-3 Goals
43%
1.9
4-5 Goals
21%
2.89
6+ Goals
10%
8.27
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.56 — our 26% vs market 17.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.5pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Houston Dynamo EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Colorado Rapids EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.60/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.55
-16% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +5%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
433 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 77%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
18.5 Crosses 17.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Houston Dynamo
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Colorado Rapids
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.03 xG 0.72
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
436 Passes 314
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.03.2024 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 0-1 HT 0-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
08.10.2023 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 5-1 HT 4-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
16.07.2023 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 0-0 HT 0-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
21.08.2022 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 1-1 HT 0-0 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo ABD
20.03.2022 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 1-1 HT 0-1 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
31.10.2021 Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 0-1 HT 0-0 Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Houston Dynamo
3-1
AWAY Colorado Rapids
2.25 xG 1.69
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 6
432 Passes 314
87% Pass Accuracy 86%
23 Box Touches 31
13 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Houston Dynamo vs Colorado Rapids
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Houston Dynamo beat Colorado Rapids 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Houston Dynamo as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Houston Dynamo had 57% of the ball to Colorado Rapids's 43%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 2.25 to 1.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Houston Dynamo had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Houston Dynamo and 0.67 for Colorado Rapids.

What was the final score of Houston Dynamo vs Colorado Rapids?

Houston Dynamo 3-1 Colorado Rapids in the USA - Major League on 30/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Houston Dynamo vs Colorado Rapids?

Before kick-off our model rated a Houston Dynamo win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Houston Dynamo 50%, draw 23%, Colorado Rapids 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Houston Dynamo), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Houston Dynamo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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