FC Cincinnati 0-2 Nashville SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 30 May 2024

📅30/05/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.76
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
26%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.08
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.8
6+ Goals
9%
16.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 34% vs market 26.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-9.4pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.3pp
26%
Away Win
21%
+5.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.1pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Cincinnati EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Nashville SC EU Bookmakers 24%
+12% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -12%
1.70/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.36
-6% / +98% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +60%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
401 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
14.0 Crosses 17.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Cincinnati
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Nashville SC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.65 xG 1.25
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
416 Passes 338
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.08.2023 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 1-1 HT 0-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC CONLK
16.07.2023 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 3-1 HT 1-1 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
26.03.2023 Nashville SC Nashville SC 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
24.07.2022 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 1-1 HT 0-1 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
28.10.2021 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 3-6 HT 3-2 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
25.07.2021 Nashville SC Nashville SC 3-0 HT 2-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Cincinnati
0-2
AWAY Nashville SC
1.37 xG 1.03
59% Ball Possession 41%
21 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
455 Passes 291
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
45 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 17
POST-MATCH FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nashville SC got the better of FC Cincinnati 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was FC Cincinnati at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, FC Cincinnati had 59% of the ball to Nashville SC's 41%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 1.37 to 1.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FC Cincinnati and 2.00 for Nashville SC.

What was the final score of FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC?

FC Cincinnati 0-2 Nashville SC in the USA - Major League on 30/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Cincinnati vs Nashville SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Cincinnati win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split FC Cincinnati 43%, draw 31%, Nashville SC 26%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FC Cincinnati) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Cincinnati) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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