New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New York City FC v Philadelphia Union — Team-Based Signals
New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
New York City FC
ABD
1-3
HT 1-2
Philadelphia Union
ABD
3-1
HT 0-0
New York City FC
ABD
New York City FC 1-0 Philadelphia Union — Actual Match Statistics
New York City FC edged past Philadelphia Union 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had New York City FC as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, New York City FC had 51% of the ball to Philadelphia Union's 49%, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 1.30 to 1.27.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Philadelphia Union led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for New York City FC and 2.83 for Philadelphia Union.
What was the final score of New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union?
New York City FC 1-0 Philadelphia Union in the USA - Major League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union?
Before kick-off our model rated a New York City FC win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split New York City FC 45%, draw 25%, Philadelphia Union 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New York City FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.