New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union Prediction — Model Probabilities
New York City FC v Philadelphia Union — Team-Based Signals
New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
New York City FC 1-0 Philadelphia Union — Actual Match Statistics
New York City FC found just enough to beat Philadelphia Union 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had New York City FC as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
By the numbers, possession split 51% to 49% in New York City FC's favour, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 1.30 to 1.27.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Philadelphia Union led the recent series with 5 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for New York City FC against 2.83 for Philadelphia Union.
New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union Result & Final Score
New York City FC 1 - 0 Philadelphia Union in the USA - Major League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
New York City FC vs Philadelphia Union Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a New York City FC win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split New York City FC 48%, draw 26%, Philadelphia Union 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New York City FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.