Nashville SC 2-1 Real Salt Lake — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.95
Over 2.5
47%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.43
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.23
6+ Goals
11%
11.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.43 — our 28% vs market 22.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.42
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.5
X/1
20%
4.51
X/2
12%
8.68
X/X
10%
5.1
2/1
10%
23.3
2/2
10%
6.63
2/X
7%
14.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-4.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.5pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nashville SC EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Salt Lake EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +19%
1.62/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.78
+0% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 80%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
20.6 Crosses 17.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nashville SC
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Real Salt Lake
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.18 xG 0.60
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 8
378 Passes 334
83% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
09.05.2022 Nashville SC Nashville SC 2-0 HT 0-0 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake ABD
20.03.2022 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 2-1 HT 1-1 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
16.05.2021 Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake 0-0 HT 0-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nashville SC
2-1
AWAY Real Salt Lake
3.16 xG 0.85
47% Ball Possession 53%
22 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
370 Passes 431
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
36 Box Touches 11
13 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nashville SC vs Real Salt Lake
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nashville SC edged past Real Salt Lake 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Nashville SC as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Nashville SC had 47% of the ball to Real Salt Lake's 53%, shots finished 22-13, expected goals 3.16 to 0.85 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Nashville SC's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nashville SC and 0.67 for Real Salt Lake.

What was the final score of Nashville SC vs Real Salt Lake?

Nashville SC 2-1 Real Salt Lake in the USA - Major League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nashville SC vs Real Salt Lake?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nashville SC win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Nashville SC 47%, draw 25%, Real Salt Lake 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nashville SC) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nashville SC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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