CF Montreal 0-1 Charlotte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.74
Over 2.5
50%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.82
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.81
6+ Goals
9%
17.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.5
1/2
8%
33.0
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
12%
5.27
X/2
14%
6.14
X/X
9%
4.36
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
15%
4.43
2/X
9%
13.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.2pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.1pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+4.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CF Montreal EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlotte EU Bookmakers 36%
+5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.43/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.64
+7% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
19.9 Crosses 14.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CF Montreal
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Charlotte
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.21 xG 1.20
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
434 Passes 381
85% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.10.2024 Charlotte Charlotte 2-0 HT 1-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
15.09.2024 CF Montreal CF Montreal 2-1 HT 2-1 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
16.07.2023 CF Montreal CF Montreal 2-0 HT 2-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
25.06.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 0-0 HT 0-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
26.06.2022 CF Montreal CF Montreal 2-1 HT 1-1 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
15.05.2022 Charlotte Charlotte 0-2 HT 0-1 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CF Montreal
0-1
AWAY Charlotte
1.77 xG 0.55
70% Ball Possession 30%
18 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
559 Passes 209
88% Pass Accuracy 73%
39 Box Touches 17
38 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH CF Montreal vs Charlotte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlotte squeezed past CF Montreal 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Charlotte found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, CF Montreal had 70% of the ball to Charlotte's 30%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.77 to 0.55 — on chances, CF Montreal could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CF Montreal had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for CF Montreal and 0.67 for Charlotte.

What was the final score of CF Montreal vs Charlotte?

CF Montreal 0-1 Charlotte in the USA - Major League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CF Montreal vs Charlotte?

Before kick-off our model rated a CF Montreal win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split CF Montreal 38%, draw 26%, Charlotte 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (CF Montreal) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CF Montreal) ✓ BTTS No
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