DC United 0-1 FC Cincinnati — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
27%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.07
Over 2.5
50%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.82
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.0
6+ Goals
10%
9.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
3.18
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
14%
5.31
X/2
8%
6.42
X/X
10%
5.38
2/1
7%
23.75
2/2
12%
4.24
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
13.55
Value flag · 2/X at 13.55 — our 10% vs market 4.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+3.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.0pp
27%
Away Win
33%
-5.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.3pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME DC United EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Cincinnati EU Bookmakers 37%
-8% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +11%
1.66/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.57
-3% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -32%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 78%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
19.2 Crosses 12.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME DC United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FC Cincinnati
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.22 xG 1.55
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
295 Passes 320
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.07.2024 DC United DC United 2-3 HT 1-2 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
10.03.2024 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 0-0 HT 0-0 DC United DC United ABD
25.06.2023 DC United DC United 3-0 HT 3-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
07.05.2023 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 2-1 HT 0-0 DC United DC United ABD
09.10.2022 DC United DC United 2-5 HT 1-4 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
06.03.2022 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 0-1 HT 0-0 DC United DC United ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME DC United
0-1
AWAY FC Cincinnati
0.85 xG 0.75
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 4
360 Passes 277
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 11
35 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH DC United vs FC Cincinnati
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Cincinnati edged past DC United 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was DC United at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, DC United had 58% of the ball to FC Cincinnati's 42%, shots finished 14-11, expected goals 0.85 to 0.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Cincinnati led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for DC United and 1.67 for FC Cincinnati.

What was the final score of DC United vs FC Cincinnati?

DC United 0-1 FC Cincinnati in the USA - Major League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for DC United vs FC Cincinnati?

Before kick-off our model rated a DC United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split DC United 46%, draw 27%, FC Cincinnati 27%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (DC United) ✗ BTTS Yes
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