Colorado Rapids 3-2 San Diego — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
39%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.15
Over 2.5
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.07
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
2.9
6+ Goals
11%
8.64
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.71
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
25.0
1/X
6%
12.8
X/1
11%
6.04
X/2
17%
5.88
X/X
9%
5.38
2/1
5%
25.5
2/2
14%
3.56
2/X
9%
12.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.0 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+2.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.2pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Colorado Rapids EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY San Diego EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+1% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
344 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 83%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.5 Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Colorado Rapids
3-2
AWAY San Diego
3.40 xG 1.36
38% Ball Possession 62%
20 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
286 Passes 514
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
34 Box Touches 28
10 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Colorado Rapids vs San Diego
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colorado Rapids edged past San Diego 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 24% / 39% — and on the day Colorado Rapids made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Colorado Rapids had 38% of the ball to San Diego's 62%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 3.40 to 1.36 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Colorado Rapids's control.

What was the final score of Colorado Rapids vs San Diego?

Colorado Rapids 3-2 San Diego in the USA - Major League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Colorado Rapids vs San Diego?

Before kick-off our model rated an San Diego win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Colorado Rapids 37%, draw 24%, San Diego 39%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (San Diego) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Diego) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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