Vancouver Whitecaps 5-1 Austin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
32%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.16
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.44
6+ Goals
10%
13.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
32%
Away Win
25%
+7.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.4pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Austin EU Bookmakers 29%
-8% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -11%
1.78/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.66
-11% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
337 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
23.1 Crosses 18.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Austin
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.35 xG 0.78
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
326 Passes 416
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
23 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.09.2024 Austin Austin 0-1 HT 0-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
05.05.2024 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 0-0 HT 0-0 Austin Austin ABD
13.07.2023 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 HT 1-0 Austin Austin ABD
16.04.2023 Austin Austin 0-0 HT 0-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
02.10.2022 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 2-0 HT 1-0 Austin Austin ABD
24.04.2022 Austin Austin 3-0 HT 2-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps
5-1
AWAY Austin
4.69 xG 0.75
52% Ball Possession 48%
27 Total Shots 11
11 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
422 Passes 371
89% Pass Accuracy 87%
41 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vancouver Whitecaps vs Austin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vancouver Whitecaps cruised past Austin 5-1. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vancouver Whitecaps as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Vancouver Whitecaps had 52% of the ball to Austin's 48%, shots finished 27-11, expected goals 4.69 to 0.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vancouver Whitecaps had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Vancouver Whitecaps and 0.67 for Austin.

What was the final score of Vancouver Whitecaps vs Austin?

Vancouver Whitecaps 5-1 Austin in the USA - Major League on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vancouver Whitecaps vs Austin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vancouver Whitecaps win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Vancouver Whitecaps 45%, draw 23%, Austin 32%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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