Austin 0-1 Vancouver Whitecaps — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.03
Over 2.5
54%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.89
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.16
6+ Goals
11%
10.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.21
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
8%
12.7
X/1
17%
5.22
X/2
14%
6.22
X/X
8%
4.96
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
25.5
2/2
14%
4.1
2/X
10%
12.8
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 7% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.7pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austin EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 36%
+9% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +22%
1.60/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.22
+26% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 79%
24.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
22.3 Crosses 18.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austin
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.94 xG 1.53
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
432 Passes 340
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2024 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 0-0 HT 0-0 Austin Austin ABD
13.07.2023 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 HT 1-0 Austin Austin ABD
16.04.2023 Austin Austin 0-0 HT 0-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
02.10.2022 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 2-0 HT 1-0 Austin Austin ABD
24.04.2022 Austin Austin 3-0 HT 2-0 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps ABD
05.09.2021 Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 HT 0-1 Austin Austin ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austin
0-1
AWAY Vancouver Whitecaps
0.60 xG 0.94
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 18
0 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 7
302 Passes 343
86% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 24
26 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Austin vs Vancouver Whitecaps
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vancouver Whitecaps edged past Austin 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Vancouver Whitecaps found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Austin had 48% of the ball to Vancouver Whitecaps's 52%, shots finished 6-18, expected goals 0.60 to 0.94.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vancouver Whitecaps led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Austin and 1.00 for Vancouver Whitecaps.

What was the final score of Austin vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Austin 0-1 Vancouver Whitecaps in the USA - Major League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austin vs Vancouver Whitecaps?

Before kick-off our model rated a Austin win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Austin 39%, draw 26%, Vancouver Whitecaps 35%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Austin) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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