New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
New York Red Bulls v Philadelphia Union — Team-Based Signals
New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 1-1
New York Red Bulls
ABD
1-1
HT 0-1
New York Red Bulls
CONLK
0-1
HT 0-1
Philadelphia Union
ABD
0-2
HT 0-0
Philadelphia Union
ABD
1-1
HT 0-0
New York Red Bulls
ABD
New York Red Bulls 0-2 Philadelphia Union — Actual Match Statistics
Philadelphia Union beat New York Red Bulls 2-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was New York Red Bulls at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, New York Red Bulls had 59% of the ball to Philadelphia Union's 41%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 1.61 to 2.38.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Philadelphia Union led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for New York Red Bulls and 1.50 for Philadelphia Union.
What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union?
New York Red Bulls 0-2 Philadelphia Union in the USA - Major League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for New York Red Bulls vs Philadelphia Union?
Before kick-off our model rated a New York Red Bulls win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split New York Red Bulls 48%, draw 24%, Philadelphia Union 27%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.