Columbus Crew vs New York City FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Columbus Crew v New York City FC — Team-Based Signals
Columbus Crew vs New York City FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-0
Columbus Crew
ABD
1-1
HT 0-0
New York City FC
ABD
1-1
HT 0-0
Columbus Crew
ABD
3-2
HT 2-1
New York City FC
ABD
2-0
HT 1-0
Columbus Crew
ABD
Columbus Crew 4-2 New York City FC — Actual Match Statistics
Columbus Crew beat New York City FC 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Columbus Crew as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Columbus Crew had 46% of the ball to New York City FC's 54%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 2.89 to 1.66.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Columbus Crew had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Columbus Crew and 1.50 for New York City FC.
What was the final score of Columbus Crew vs New York City FC?
Columbus Crew 4-2 New York City FC in the USA - Major League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Columbus Crew vs New York City FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Columbus Crew win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Columbus Crew 50%, draw 25%, New York City FC 25%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Columbus Crew) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.