Orlando City 3-0 Nashville SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 1 Sep 2024

📅01/09/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.19
2-3 Goals
35%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
3.03
6+ Goals
14%
9.39
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.19 — our 27% vs market 18.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.91
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.0
X/1
15%
3.82
X/2
8%
11.55
X/X
13%
6.03
2/1
12%
21.45
2/2
6%
8.66
2/X
5%
16.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
63%
-7.5pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.6pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.2pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orlando City EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Nashville SC EU Bookmakers 20%
+1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.89/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.71
+21% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +59%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
433 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 79%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
17.0 Crosses 14.4
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orlando City
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Nashville SC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.24 xG 0.67
57% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
418 Passes 295
84% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
18.07.2024 Nashville SC Nashville SC 0-3 HT 0-2 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
08.11.2023 Nashville SC Nashville SC 0-1 HT 0-1 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
31.10.2023 Orlando City Orlando City 1-0 HT 1-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
05.10.2023 Nashville SC Nashville SC 0-1 HT 0-1 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
02.04.2023 Orlando City Orlando City 0-2 HT 0-1 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
30.06.2022 Orlando City Orlando City 1-1 HT 0-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orlando City
3-0
AWAY Nashville SC
2.07 xG 1.88
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
410 Passes 246
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 18
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Orlando City vs Nashville SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando City cruised past Nashville SC 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Orlando City as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Orlando City had 59% of the ball to Nashville SC's 41%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 2.07 to 1.88.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando City had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Orlando City and 0.50 for Nashville SC.

What was the final score of Orlando City vs Nashville SC?

Orlando City 3-0 Nashville SC in the USA - Major League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orlando City vs Nashville SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando City win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Orlando City 55%, draw 25%, Nashville SC 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Orlando City), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Orlando City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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