Charlotte 0-1 Atlanta United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 1 Sep 2024

Charlotte
0-1 HT 0-0
Atlanta United
📅01/09/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

Charlotte vs Atlanta United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.86
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.38
Over 2.5
50%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
5.01
2-3 Goals
37%
1.95
4-5 Goals
24%
2.76
6+ Goals
10%
7.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.01 — our 29% vs market 15.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.42
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
12%
4.57
X/2
15%
8.03
X/X
12%
5.93
2/1
7%
20.75
2/2
12%
5.25
2/X
7%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
50%
-10.8pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.7pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.5pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Charlotte v Atlanta United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Charlotte EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Atlanta United EU Bookmakers 29%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -3%
1.12/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.55
-38% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
331 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 81%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
18.9 Crosses 16.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8

Charlotte vs Atlanta United Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Charlotte
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Atlanta United
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.27 xG 1.55
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
309 Passes 397
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.06.2024 Atlanta United Atlanta United 2-3 HT 1-1 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
14.05.2023 Atlanta United Atlanta United 1-3 HT 0-1 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
11.03.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 0-3 HT 0-3 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
10.04.2022 Charlotte Charlotte 1-0 HT 1-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
13.03.2022 Atlanta United Atlanta United 2-1 HT 0-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD

Charlotte 0-1 Atlanta United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Charlotte
0-1
AWAY Atlanta United
0.92 xG 1.82
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
405 Passes 429
88% Pass Accuracy 88%
20 Box Touches 32
27 Crosses 21
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Charlotte vs Atlanta United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlanta United nicked a narrow win over Charlotte 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Atlanta United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Charlotte had 49% of the ball to Atlanta United's 51%, shots finished 12-19, expected goals 0.92 to 1.82.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Charlotte had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Charlotte and 1.60 for Atlanta United.

What was the final score of Charlotte vs Atlanta United?

Charlotte 0-1 Atlanta United in the USA - Major League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Charlotte vs Atlanta United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Charlotte win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Charlotte 39%, draw 28%, Atlanta United 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Charlotte)
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