Toronto FC vs DC United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Toronto FC v DC United — Team-Based Signals
Toronto FC vs DC United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
DC United
ABD
3-2
HT 1-0
Toronto FC
ABD
2-2
HT 1-1
Toronto FC
ABD
2-1
HT 1-1
DC United
ABD
1-3
HT 1-3
DC United
ABD
Toronto FC 1-3 DC United — Actual Match Statistics
DC United beat Toronto FC 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Toronto FC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Toronto FC had 57% of the ball to DC United's 43%, shots finished 6-11, expected goals 0.57 to 1.71.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Toronto FC and 2.00 for DC United.
What was the final score of Toronto FC vs DC United?
Toronto FC 1-3 DC United in the USA - Major League on 01/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Toronto FC vs DC United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Toronto FC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Toronto FC 41%, draw 27%, DC United 32%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Toronto FC) went the other way.