DC United 2-2 Toronto FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.21
Over 2.5
56%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.51
2-3 Goals
40%
1.9
4-5 Goals
27%
2.91
6+ Goals
12%
8.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-3.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.0pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.7pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.2pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME DC United EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Toronto FC EU Bookmakers 28%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.75/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.93
+16% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
321 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 80%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
18.6 Crosses 11.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME DC United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Toronto FC
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.93 xG 1.55
47% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
303 Passes 343
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
27 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.05.2023 Toronto FC Toronto FC 2-1 HT 1-0 DC United DC United ABD
26.02.2023 DC United DC United 3-2 HT 1-0 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
22.05.2022 DC United DC United 2-2 HT 1-1 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
19.03.2022 Toronto FC Toronto FC 2-1 HT 1-1 DC United DC United ABD
07.11.2021 Toronto FC Toronto FC 1-3 HT 1-3 DC United DC United ABD
04.07.2021 DC United DC United 7-1 HT 3-1 Toronto FC Toronto FC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME DC United
2-2
AWAY Toronto FC
2.93 xG 0.78
58% Ball Possession 42%
20 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 4
432 Passes 306
86% Pass Accuracy 81%
34 Box Touches 21
32 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH DC United vs Toronto FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

DC United and Toronto FC shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was DC United at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, DC United had 58% of the ball to Toronto FC's 42%, shots finished 20-10, expected goals 2.93 to 0.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, DC United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for DC United and 1.67 for Toronto FC.

What was the final score of DC United vs Toronto FC?

DC United 2-2 Toronto FC in the USA - Major League on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for DC United vs Toronto FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a DC United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split DC United 48%, draw 23%, Toronto FC 29%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (DC United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (DC United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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