Inter Miami 3-3 St. Louis City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.74
Over 2.5
61%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
6.41
2-3 Goals
37%
2.12
4-5 Goals
28%
2.52
6+ Goals
17%
5.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.92
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.2
X/1
21%
4.18
X/2
6%
11.0
X/X
10%
7.2
2/1
7%
18.75
2/2
12%
7.0
2/X
5%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
59%
-5.6pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.0pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.6pp
39%
Under 2.5
33%
+6.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
67%
-6.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.0pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Louis City EU Bookmakers 23%
-12% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +6%
1.68/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.73
+0% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
383 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 80%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
12.2 Crosses 16.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Miami
0W-0D-1L
AWAY St. Louis City
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.63 xG 1.45
63% Ball Possession 37%
10 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 11
6 Corners 8
432 Passes 211
84% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.07.2023 St. Louis City St. Louis City 3-0 HT 2-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Miami
3-3
AWAY St. Louis City
2.74 xG 1.61
69% Ball Possession 31%
19 Total Shots 20
10 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 7
574 Passes 226
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
29 Box Touches 35
14 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Inter Miami vs St. Louis City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Miami and St. Louis City shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 2-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Inter Miami at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Inter Miami had 69% of the ball to St. Louis City's 31%, shots finished 19-20, expected goals 2.74 to 1.61.

What was the final score of Inter Miami vs St. Louis City?

Inter Miami 3-3 St. Louis City in the USA - Major League on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Miami vs St. Louis City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Miami win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Inter Miami 54%, draw 22%, St. Louis City 25%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Inter Miami) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inter Miami) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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