Philadelphia Union 2-2 CF Montreal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.52
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.9
6+ Goals
14%
8.37
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.84
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
5%
17.05
X/1
19%
3.75
X/2
9%
11.9
X/X
12%
6.6
2/1
8%
20.5
2/2
7%
8.75
2/X
8%
17.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-11.0pp
25%
Draw
21%
+4.6pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.1pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Philadelphia Union EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY CF Montreal EU Bookmakers 20%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -2%
2.04/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.81
+11% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -11%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
19.2 Crosses 14.4
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Philadelphia Union
2W-3D-1L
AWAY CF Montreal
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.94 xG 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
272 Passes 390
73% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.06.2023 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 3-0 HT 2-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
19.03.2023 CF Montreal CF Montreal 3-2 HT 1-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
23.04.2022 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 1-1 HT 1-0 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
06.03.2022 CF Montreal CF Montreal 1-2 HT 1-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
16.10.2021 CF Montreal CF Montreal 2-2 HT 1-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
22.08.2021 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 1-1 HT 0-1 CF Montreal CF Montreal ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Philadelphia Union
2-2
AWAY CF Montreal
2.80 xG 1.14
67% Ball Possession 33%
24 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 1
449 Passes 188
86% Pass Accuracy 70%
39 Box Touches 8
34 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Philadelphia Union and CF Montreal shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Philadelphia Union at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Philadelphia Union had 67% of the ball to CF Montreal's 33%, shots finished 24-6, expected goals 2.80 to 1.14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Philadelphia Union had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Philadelphia Union and 1.33 for CF Montreal.

What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal?

Philadelphia Union 2-2 CF Montreal in the USA - Major League on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Philadelphia Union win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Philadelphia Union 52%, draw 25%, CF Montreal 23%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Philadelphia Union) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Philadelphia Union) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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