Minnesota United 3-1 Sporting Kansas City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 2 Jun 2024

Minnesota United
3-1 HT 1-0
Sporting Kansas City
📅02/06/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

Minnesota United vs Sporting Kansas City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.63
No
47%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.18
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
3.03
6+ Goals
12%
9.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.26
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.2
X/1
25%
4.2
X/2
7%
8.79
X/X
11%
5.63
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
21.45
2/2
10%
6.26
2/X
9%
14.65
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.45 — our 9% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-4.1pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.5pp
47%
BTTS No
43%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Minnesota United v Sporting Kansas City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Minnesota United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Kansas City EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -3%
1.82/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.69
+1% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -7%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 78%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
22.0 Crosses 15.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8

Minnesota United vs Sporting Kansas City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Minnesota United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sporting Kansas City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.98 xG 1.07
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
349 Passes 435
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
21 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
28.04.2024 Minnesota United Minnesota United 2-1 HT 2-1 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
22.10.2023 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 3-1 HT 2-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
17.09.2023 Minnesota United Minnesota United 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD
14.05.2023 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 3-0 HT 2-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
18.09.2022 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City 4-1 HT 3-0 Minnesota United Minnesota United ABD
14.07.2022 Minnesota United Minnesota United 1-1 HT 1-0 Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City ABD

Minnesota United 3-1 Sporting Kansas City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Minnesota United
3-1
AWAY Sporting Kansas City
1.57 xG 0.69
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
283 Passes 335
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Box Touches 15
11 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Minnesota United vs Sporting Kansas City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minnesota United beat Sporting Kansas City 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Minnesota United as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Minnesota United had 46% of the ball to Sporting Kansas City's 54%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.57 to 0.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Kansas City led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Minnesota United and 2.17 for Sporting Kansas City.

What was the final score of Minnesota United vs Sporting Kansas City?

Minnesota United 3-1 Sporting Kansas City in the USA - Major League on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Minnesota United vs Sporting Kansas City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Minnesota United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Minnesota United 49%, draw 27%, Sporting Kansas City 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Minnesota United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Minnesota United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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