Chicago Fire vs Los Angeles Galaxy Prediction — Model Probabilities
Chicago Fire v Los Angeles Galaxy — Team-Based Signals
Chicago Fire vs Los Angeles Galaxy Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Chicago Fire 2-1 Los Angeles Galaxy — Actual Match Statistics
Chicago Fire edged past Los Angeles Galaxy 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Chicago Fire as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (63%) came home.
Under the surface, Chicago Fire had 36% of the ball to Los Angeles Galaxy's 64%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.02 to 1.56 — the balance of chances actually favoured Los Angeles Galaxy.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Los Angeles Galaxy led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Chicago Fire and 1.67 for Los Angeles Galaxy.
Chicago Fire vs Los Angeles Galaxy Result & Final Score
Chicago Fire 2 - 1 Los Angeles Galaxy in the USA - Major League on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Chicago Fire vs Los Angeles Galaxy Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Chicago Fire win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Chicago Fire 41%, draw 26%, Los Angeles Galaxy 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chicago Fire), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.