Chicago Fire 2-1 Los Angeles Galaxy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 2 Jun 2024

📅02/06/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.38
Over 2.5
56%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.46
No
41%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.08
2-3 Goals
39%
1.96
4-5 Goals
26%
2.74
6+ Goals
13%
7.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
42%
-5.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.6pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+3.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+5.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-5.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
64%
-5.8pp
41%
BTTS No
36%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chicago Fire EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy EU Bookmakers 36%
-8% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +21%
1.35/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.63
-12% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
371 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 82%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
19.7 Crosses 15.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chicago Fire
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.88 xG 1.53
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
354 Passes 377
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 21
21 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
27.08.2023 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 3-0 HT 1-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
17.04.2022 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 0-0 HT 0-0 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
03.03.2019 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 2-1 HT 0-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
14.04.2018 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 0-1 HT 0-1 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
07.05.2017 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy 2-2 HT 0-2 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
25.08.2016 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 2-2 HT 2-1 Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chicago Fire
2-1
AWAY Los Angeles Galaxy
1.02 xG 1.56
36% Ball Possession 64%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
350 Passes 656
85% Pass Accuracy 89%
17 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chicago Fire vs Los Angeles Galaxy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chicago Fire edged past Los Angeles Galaxy 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Chicago Fire found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Chicago Fire had 36% of the ball to Los Angeles Galaxy's 64%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.02 to 1.56 — on chances, Los Angeles Galaxy could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Los Angeles Galaxy led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Chicago Fire and 1.67 for Los Angeles Galaxy.

What was the final score of Chicago Fire vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

Chicago Fire 2-1 Los Angeles Galaxy in the USA - Major League on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chicago Fire vs Los Angeles Galaxy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chicago Fire win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chicago Fire 37%, draw 27%, Los Angeles Galaxy 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chicago Fire), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chicago Fire) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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