New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City Prediction — Model Probabilities
New York Red Bulls v Orlando City — Team-Based Signals
New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
New York Red Bulls 1-0 Orlando City — Actual Match Statistics
New York Red Bulls nicked a narrow win over Orlando City 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had New York Red Bulls as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 53% and both teams to score at 54%, coin-flips both.
Under the surface, New York Red Bulls had 36% of the ball to Orlando City's 64%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 0.79 to 0.42.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando City led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for New York Red Bulls and 1.83 for Orlando City.
New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City Result & Final Score
New York Red Bulls 1 - 0 Orlando City in the USA - Major League on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a New York Red Bulls win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split New York Red Bulls 55%, draw 25%, Orlando City 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New York Red Bulls) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.