Atlanta United 2-3 Charlotte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 2 Jun 2024

Atlanta United
2-3 HT 1-1
Charlotte
📅02/06/2024 · 🕒23:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
USA - Major League – 2024

Atlanta United vs Charlotte Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.03
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.1
6+ Goals
9%
10.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.03 — our 26% vs market 19.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.38
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
12.95
X/1
14%
4.42
X/2
7%
8.62
X/X
13%
5.12
2/1
10%
22.7
2/2
11%
6.1
2/X
8%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-3.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.1pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.8pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atlanta United v Charlotte — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlanta United EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlotte EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.68/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.37
+19% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
392 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 80%
25.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
19.3 Crosses 15.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6

Atlanta United vs Charlotte Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlanta United
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Charlotte
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
1.40 xG 1.35
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
369 Passes 311
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
14.05.2023 Atlanta United Atlanta United 1-3 HT 0-1 Charlotte Charlotte ABD
11.03.2023 Charlotte Charlotte 0-3 HT 0-3 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
10.04.2022 Charlotte Charlotte 1-0 HT 1-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
13.03.2022 Atlanta United Atlanta United 2-1 HT 0-0 Charlotte Charlotte ABD

Atlanta United 2-3 Charlotte — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atlanta United
2-3
AWAY Charlotte
2.13 xG 0.97
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
507 Passes 298
89% Pass Accuracy 81%
39 Box Touches 29
21 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Atlanta United vs Charlotte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Charlotte edged past Atlanta United 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Atlanta United at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Atlanta United had 61% of the ball to Charlotte's 39%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 2.13 to 0.97 — on chances, Atlanta United could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Atlanta United and 1.25 for Charlotte.

What was the final score of Atlanta United vs Charlotte?

Atlanta United 2-3 Charlotte in the USA - Major League on 02/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlanta United vs Charlotte?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atlanta United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Atlanta United 48%, draw 27%, Charlotte 25%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Atlanta United), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atlanta United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
2 Jun 2024
02:30 New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City Analysis →
02:30 DC United vs Toronto FC Analysis →
02:30 Philadelphia Union vs CF Montreal Analysis →
02:30 Inter Miami vs St. Louis City Analysis →
03:30 Minnesota United vs Sporting Kansas City Analysis →
03:30 Chicago Fire vs Los Angeles Galaxy Analysis →