Nashville SC 0-3 Orlando City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 18 Jul 2024

📅18/07/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
30%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
35%
+5.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
31%
Away Win
39%
-8.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.1pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nashville SC EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Orlando City EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +23%
1.05/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.08
-36% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +40%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
347 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 82%
17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.4
19.0 Crosses 14.6
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nashville SC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Orlando City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.71 xG 1.11
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
294 Passes 419
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2023 Nashville SC Nashville SC 0-1 HT 0-1 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
31.10.2023 Orlando City Orlando City 1-0 HT 1-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
05.10.2023 Nashville SC Nashville SC 0-1 HT 0-1 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
02.04.2023 Orlando City Orlando City 0-2 HT 0-1 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
30.06.2022 Orlando City Orlando City 1-1 HT 0-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABDK
24.11.2021 Nashville SC Nashville SC 3-1 HT 1-1 Orlando City Orlando City ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nashville SC
0-3
AWAY Orlando City
0.34 xG 1.34
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 1
301 Passes 353
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
10 Box Touches 12
16 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nashville SC vs Orlando City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orlando City ran out comfortable winners over Nashville SC 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Nashville SC at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Nashville SC had 47% of the ball to Orlando City's 53%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.34 to 1.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Orlando City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Nashville SC and 0.83 for Orlando City.

What was the final score of Nashville SC vs Orlando City?

Nashville SC 0-3 Orlando City in the USA - Major League on 18/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nashville SC vs Orlando City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nashville SC win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nashville SC 41%, draw 29%, Orlando City 31%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nashville SC) ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ABD More USA - Major League
18 Jul 2024
02:30 Atlanta United vs New York City FC Analysis →
02:30 New York Red Bulls vs CF Montreal Analysis →
02:30 Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution Analysis →
02:30 Inter Miami vs Toronto FC Analysis →
02:30 FC Cincinnati vs Chicago Fire Analysis →
02:30 Columbus Crew vs Charlotte Analysis →