Columbus Crew 1-1 New York City FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.51
Over 2.5
61%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.5
No
44%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.45
2-3 Goals
37%
2.0
4-5 Goals
29%
2.67
6+ Goals
15%
6.49
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.17
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.35
X/1
16%
4.45
X/2
12%
9.43
X/X
7%
6.1
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
20.25
2/2
8%
6.15
2/X
8%
13.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.25 — our 8% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
53%
-3.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+3.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
36%
+2.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
64%
-2.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
62%
-6.4pp
44%
BTTS No
38%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY New York City FC EU Bookmakers 26%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.79/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.49
+38% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +77%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
384 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 81%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
16.6 Crosses 7.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Columbus Crew
2W-2D-2L
AWAY New York City FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.08 xG 2.36
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
391 Passes 360
84% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
15.06.2024 New York City FC New York City FC 2-3 HT 1-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
09.07.2023 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 1-1 HT 0-0 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
17.06.2023 New York City FC New York City FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
07.08.2022 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 3-2 HT 2-1 New York City FC New York City FC ABD
15.05.2022 New York City FC New York City FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
31.07.2021 New York City FC New York City FC 4-1 HT 2-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Columbus Crew
1-1
AWAY New York City FC
1.44 xG 0.45
53% Ball Possession 47%
18 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
442 Passes 364
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
24 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Columbus Crew vs New York City FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Columbus Crew and New York City FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Columbus Crew at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Columbus Crew had 53% of the ball to New York City FC's 47%, shots finished 18-5, expected goals 1.44 to 0.45.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Columbus Crew and 2.00 for New York City FC.

What was the final score of Columbus Crew vs New York City FC?

Columbus Crew 1-1 New York City FC in the Concacaf League Cup on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Columbus Crew vs New York City FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Columbus Crew win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Columbus Crew 50%, draw 24%, New York City FC 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Columbus Crew), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Columbus Crew) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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