Seattle Sounders 0-3 Los Angeles FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.46
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.44
6+ Goals
12%
13.05
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.44 — our 25% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.19
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
8%
13.25
X/1
19%
4.98
X/2
11%
6.13
X/X
10%
4.8
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
25.5
2/2
14%
4.26
2/X
9%
13.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-1.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+1.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.0pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Seattle Sounders EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Los Angeles FC EU Bookmakers 36%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
29.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.0 Crosses
4.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Seattle Sounders
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Los Angeles FC
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.31 xG 1.28
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
442 Passes 292
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 19
24 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.07.2024 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 0-3 HT 0-2 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
25.02.2024 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
27.11.2023 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 0-1 HT 0-1 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
22.06.2023 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
18.03.2023 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 0-0 HT 0-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
30.07.2022 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 2-1 HT 2-1 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Seattle Sounders
0-3
AWAY Los Angeles FC
1.25 xG 1.70
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 7
12 Corners 1
497 Passes 280
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
28 Box Touches 10
31 Crosses 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Los Angeles FC ran out comfortable winners over Seattle Sounders 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Los Angeles FC made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Seattle Sounders had 63% of the ball to Los Angeles FC's 37%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 1.25 to 1.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Los Angeles FC led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Seattle Sounders and 1.50 for Los Angeles FC.

What was the final score of Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC?

Seattle Sounders 0-3 Los Angeles FC in the Concacaf League Cup on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Seattle Sounders win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Seattle Sounders 40%, draw 27%, Los Angeles FC 33%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Seattle Sounders), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Seattle Sounders) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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