Seattle Sounders 0-3 Los Angeles FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒05:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.31
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
3.57
6+ Goals
11%
14.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.57 — our 24% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.12
1/2
9%
33.0
1/X
7%
13.05
X/1
17%
4.9
X/2
11%
6.38
X/X
12%
4.59
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
11%
4.53
2/X
9%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.4pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Seattle Sounders EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Los Angeles FC EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +10%
1.38/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.51
-13% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 76%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
20.9 Crosses 14.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Seattle Sounders
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Los Angeles FC
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.20 xG 1.18
56% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
416 Passes 308
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2024 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 2-1 HT 1-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
27.11.2023 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 0-1 HT 0-1 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
22.06.2023 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
18.03.2023 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 0-0 HT 0-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
30.07.2022 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC 2-1 HT 2-1 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders ABD
18.06.2022 Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 1-1 HT 0-0 Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Seattle Sounders
0-3
AWAY Los Angeles FC
1.91 xG 1.85
65% Ball Possession 35%
21 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
568 Passes 263
89% Pass Accuracy 77%
38 Box Touches 12
30 Crosses 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Los Angeles FC cruised past Seattle Sounders 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Seattle Sounders at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Seattle Sounders had 65% of the ball to Los Angeles FC's 35%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 1.91 to 1.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Los Angeles FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Seattle Sounders and 1.17 for Los Angeles FC.

What was the final score of Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC?

Seattle Sounders 0-3 Los Angeles FC in the USA - Major League on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Seattle Sounders win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Seattle Sounders 41%, draw 27%, Los Angeles FC 32%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Seattle Sounders), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Seattle Sounders) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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