Orlando City vs New York City FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Orlando City v New York City FC — Team-Based Signals
Orlando City vs New York City FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Orlando City
ABD
1-1
HT 1-0
New York City FC
ABD
2-1
HT 0-0
Orlando City
ABD
2-1
HT 1-0
New York City FC
ABD
5-0
HT 1-0
Orlando City
ABD
Orlando City 1-1 New York City FC — Actual Match Statistics
Orlando City and New York City FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
Our pre-match lean was Orlando City at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Orlando City had 52% of the ball to New York City FC's 48%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.65 to 1.30.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, New York City FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Orlando City and 2.50 for New York City FC.
What was the final score of Orlando City vs New York City FC?
Orlando City 1-1 New York City FC in the USA - Major League on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Orlando City vs New York City FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Orlando City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Orlando City 41%, draw 28%, New York City FC 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Orlando City) went the other way.