CF Montreal vs Toronto FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
CF Montreal v Toronto FC — Team-Based Signals
CF Montreal vs Toronto FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 0-2
CF Montreal
ABD
2-0
HT 0-0
Toronto FC
ABD
3-4
HT 2-3
CF Montreal
ABD
1-0
HT 0-0
Toronto FC
ABD
1-1
HT 0-0
CF Montreal
ABD
CF Montreal 0-1 Toronto FC — Actual Match Statistics
Toronto FC edged past CF Montreal 1-0 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was CF Montreal at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, CF Montreal had 55% of the ball to Toronto FC's 45%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 1.20 to 1.16.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CF Montreal had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for CF Montreal and 1.83 for Toronto FC.
What was the final score of CF Montreal vs Toronto FC?
CF Montreal 0-1 Toronto FC in the USA - Major League on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for CF Montreal vs Toronto FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a CF Montreal win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split CF Montreal 43%, draw 28%, Toronto FC 29%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.