Inter Miami 2-1 Chicago Fire — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 21 Jul 2024

Inter Miami
2-1 HT 1-0
Chicago Fire
📅21/07/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✓
USA - Major League – 2024

Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.33
Over 2.5
57%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.93
2-3 Goals
38%
1.94
4-5 Goals
28%
2.78
6+ Goals
13%
7.41
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-3.3pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.8pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.6pp
43%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.8pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Inter Miami v Chicago Fire — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Chicago Fire EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +5%
1.70/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.77
+31% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
380 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 80%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
14.9 Crosses 14.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Miami
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Chicago Fire
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.31 xG 1.71
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
366 Passes 319
82% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.10.2023 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 4-1 HT 0-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
26.03.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-3 HT 1-2 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
11.09.2022 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 3-1 HT 1-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
27.02.2022 Inter Miami Inter Miami 0-0 HT 0-0 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
19.08.2021 Inter Miami Inter Miami 3-2 HT 1-1 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire ABD
23.05.2021 Chicago Fire Chicago Fire 1-0 HT 0-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD

Inter Miami 2-1 Chicago Fire — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Miami
2-1
AWAY Chicago Fire
2.35 xG 0.65
49% Ball Possession 51%
18 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
404 Passes 413
87% Pass Accuracy 87%
31 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
FAQ Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Inter Miami edged past Chicago Fire 2-1 in the USA - Major League on 21 Jul 2024. Half-time: 1-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 57% and both teams to score was close to even at 55%.

On the day, Inter Miami had 49% of the ball to Chicago Fire's 51%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 2.35 to 0.65.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chicago Fire lead the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Inter Miami and 2.17 for Chicago Fire.

What was the final score of Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire?

Inter Miami 2-1 Chicago Fire in the USA - Major League on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Miami win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Inter Miami 48%, draw 25%, Chicago Fire 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Miami), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter Miami) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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