New York Red Bulls 3-1 FC Cincinnati — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.24
2-3 Goals
42%
1.87
4-5 Goals
24%
3.0
6+ Goals
12%
9.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
52%
-3.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.5pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New York Red Bulls EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Cincinnati EU Bookmakers 28%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +32%
1.29/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.57
-13% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
332 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 77%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
18.2 Crosses 11.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New York Red Bulls
2W-2D-2L
AWAY FC Cincinnati
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.14 xG 0.96
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
265 Passes 338
69% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 4
07.04.2024 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 1-2 HT 1-1 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
05.11.2023 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 1-1 HT 1-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
30.10.2023 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 3-0 HT 2-0 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
05.10.2023 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati 1-2 HT 0-2 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls ABD
13.07.2023 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 1-2 HT 1-0 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABD
24.05.2023 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati ABDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New York Red Bulls
3-1
AWAY FC Cincinnati
1.91 xG 0.53
35% Ball Possession 65%
19 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
170 Passes 395
66% Pass Accuracy 81%
31 Box Touches 14
9 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New York Red Bulls saw off FC Cincinnati 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had New York Red Bulls as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, New York Red Bulls had 35% of the ball to FC Cincinnati's 65%, shots finished 19-4, expected goals 1.91 to 0.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for New York Red Bulls and 1.50 for FC Cincinnati.

What was the final score of New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati?

New York Red Bulls 3-1 FC Cincinnati in the USA - Major League on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New York Red Bulls vs FC Cincinnati?

Before kick-off our model rated a New York Red Bulls win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split New York Red Bulls 48%, draw 25%, FC Cincinnati 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (New York Red Bulls), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (New York Red Bulls) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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