Philadelphia Union 3-0 Nashville SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.21
2-3 Goals
36%
1.86
4-5 Goals
27%
3.02
6+ Goals
13%
9.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
58%
-5.6pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.3pp
24%
Away Win
19%
+4.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.9pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.9pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Philadelphia Union EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Nashville SC EU Bookmakers 22%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +6%
2.08/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.52
+14% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +52%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
398 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
27.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
19.5 Crosses 16.2
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Philadelphia Union
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Nashville SC
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.56 xG 1.28
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 7
320 Passes 348
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Nashville SC Nashville SC 1-2 HT 1-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
08.10.2023 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 0-0 HT 0-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
13.07.2023 Nashville SC Nashville SC 0-2 HT 0-1 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
01.05.2022 Nashville SC Nashville SC 1-1 HT 0-0 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union ABD
29.11.2021 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 1-1 HT 1-1 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
24.10.2021 Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union 1-0 HT 1-0 Nashville SC Nashville SC ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Philadelphia Union
3-0
AWAY Nashville SC
4.28 xG 1.69
42% Ball Possession 58%
19 Total Shots 20
9 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
255 Passes 376
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
32 Box Touches 29
17 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Philadelphia Union vs Nashville SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Philadelphia Union ran out comfortable winners over Nashville SC 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Philadelphia Union as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Philadelphia Union had 42% of the ball to Nashville SC's 58%, shots finished 19-20, expected goals 4.28 to 1.69.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Philadelphia Union had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Philadelphia Union and 0.50 for Nashville SC.

What was the final score of Philadelphia Union vs Nashville SC?

Philadelphia Union 3-0 Nashville SC in the USA - Major League on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Philadelphia Union vs Nashville SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Philadelphia Union win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Philadelphia Union 53%, draw 24%, Nashville SC 24%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Philadelphia Union), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Philadelphia Union) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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