Atlanta United 2-1 Columbus Crew — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.67
Draw
34%
3.72
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.74
Over 2.5
61%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.38
No
34%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.42
2-3 Goals
32%
2.12
4-5 Goals
32%
2.52
6+ Goals
17%
5.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
34%
-5.6pp
34%
Draw
23%
+11.0pp
38%
Away Win
43%
-5.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
33%
+6.2pp
61%
Over 2.5
67%
-6.2pp
66%
BTTS Yes
68%
-2.7pp
34%
BTTS No
32%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atlanta United EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Columbus Crew EU Bookmakers 48%
-7% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -6%
1.22/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.32
-7% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -2%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 80%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
19.8 Crosses 12.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atlanta United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Columbus Crew
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.05 xG 1.91
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
406 Passes 406
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 32
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.02.2024 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 1-0 HT 1-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
13.11.2023 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 4-2 HT 3-1 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
08.11.2023 Atlanta United Atlanta United 4-2 HT 2-1 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
02.11.2023 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 2-0 HT 1-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
08.10.2023 Atlanta United Atlanta United 1-1 HT 0-0 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew ABD
26.03.2023 Columbus Crew Columbus Crew 6-1 HT 1-0 Atlanta United Atlanta United ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atlanta United
2-1
AWAY Columbus Crew
1.62 xG 1.85
31% Ball Possession 69%
13 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 7
202 Passes 523
79% Pass Accuracy 88%
30 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Atlanta United vs Columbus Crew
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atlanta United nicked a narrow win over Columbus Crew 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 28% / 34% / 38% — and on the day Atlanta United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (66%) came in.

On the day, Atlanta United had 31% of the ball to Columbus Crew's 69%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.62 to 1.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Columbus Crew led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Atlanta United and 2.67 for Columbus Crew.

What was the final score of Atlanta United vs Columbus Crew?

Atlanta United 2-1 Columbus Crew in the USA - Major League on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atlanta United vs Columbus Crew?

Before kick-off our model rated an Columbus Crew win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Atlanta United 28%, draw 34%, Columbus Crew 38%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Columbus Crew) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Columbus Crew) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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