New England Revolution 1-1 FC Dallas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.78
Over 2.5
51%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.02
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.87
6+ Goals
12%
17.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-6.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+7.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.5pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME New England Revolution EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Dallas EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +6%
1.58/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.45
-12% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
288 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
20.2 Crosses 13.9
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME New England Revolution
1W-1D-4L
AWAY FC Dallas
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.26 xG 1.03
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
351 Passes 383
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
26 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.03.2022 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-0 HT 1-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
28.06.2021 FC Dallas FC Dallas 2-1 HT 1-1 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
03.03.2019 FC Dallas FC Dallas 1-1 HT 1-0 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
15.04.2018 New England Revolution New England Revolution 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Dallas FC Dallas ABD
19.03.2017 FC Dallas FC Dallas 2-1 HT 0-1 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
14.09.2016 FC Dallas FC Dallas 4-2 HT 3-1 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABDK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME New England Revolution
1-1
AWAY FC Dallas
1.03 xG 1.27
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
273 Passes 245
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 21
27 Crosses 15
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH New England Revolution vs FC Dallas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

New England Revolution and FC Dallas shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, New England Revolution had 53% of the ball to FC Dallas's 47%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 1.03 to 1.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Dallas led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for New England Revolution and 1.67 for FC Dallas.

What was the final score of New England Revolution vs FC Dallas?

New England Revolution 1-1 FC Dallas in the USA - Major League on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for New England Revolution vs FC Dallas?

Before kick-off our model rated a New England Revolution win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split New England Revolution 38%, draw 27%, FC Dallas 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (New England Revolution), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (New England Revolution) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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