Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Philadelphia Union v New York City FC — Team-Based Signals
Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Philadelphia Union 1-0 New York City FC — Actual Match Statistics
Philadelphia Union nicked a narrow win over New York City FC 1-0.
The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Philadelphia Union as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%) never looked like landing.
By the numbers, Philadelphia Union had 39% of the ball to New York City FC's 61%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 0.90 to 0.66.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Philadelphia Union had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Philadelphia Union and 1.17 for New York City FC.
Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC Result & Final Score
Philadelphia Union 1 - 0 New York City FC in the USA - Major League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Philadelphia Union win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Philadelphia Union 50%, draw 24%, New York City FC 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Philadelphia Union) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.