Inter Miami 4-1 New England Revolution — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - Major League, 5 Oct 2025

📅05/10/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.33
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
17%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
3.68
Over 2.5
67%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%
1.46
No
32%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
9.12
2-3 Goals
35%
2.48
4-5 Goals
33%
2.29
6+ Goals
16%
3.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.53
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
7%
17.35
X/1
23%
4.38
X/2
4%
16.65
X/X
11%
9.99
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
16.25
2/2
8%
11.45
2/X
5%
19.85
Value flag · 2/1 at 16.25 — our 8% vs market 3.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
70%
-9.1pp
23%
Draw
16%
+6.1pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+2.9pp
33%
Under 2.5
24%
+9.8pp
67%
Over 2.5
76%
-9.8pp
68%
BTTS Yes
64%
+3.9pp
32%
BTTS No
36%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter Miami EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY New England Revolution EU Bookmakers 17%
-9% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +7%
2.37/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/2.13
+22% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -15%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
474 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 81%
30.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
14.0 Crosses 16.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter Miami
4W-0D-2L
AWAY New England Revolution
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.96 xG 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
443 Passes 403
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
10.07.2025 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-2 HT 0-2 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
20.10.2024 Inter Miami Inter Miami 6-2 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
28.04.2024 New England Revolution New England Revolution 1-4 HT 1-1 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
11.06.2023 New England Revolution New England Revolution 3-1 HT 2-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
14.05.2023 Inter Miami Inter Miami 2-1 HT 2-1 New England Revolution New England Revolution ABD
01.05.2022 New England Revolution New England Revolution 2-0 HT 1-0 Inter Miami Inter Miami ABD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter Miami
4-1
AWAY New England Revolution
2.58 xG 0.73
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
539 Passes 432
86% Pass Accuracy 89%
39 Box Touches 14
2 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Inter Miami vs New England Revolution
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter Miami ran out comfortable winners over New England Revolution 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Inter Miami as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (68%) came in.

On the day, Inter Miami had 55% of the ball to New England Revolution's 45%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 2.58 to 0.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Miami had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Inter Miami and 1.67 for New England Revolution.

What was the final score of Inter Miami vs New England Revolution?

Inter Miami 4-1 New England Revolution in the USA - Major League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter Miami vs New England Revolution?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter Miami win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Inter Miami 61%, draw 23%, New England Revolution 17%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter Miami), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter Miami) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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