Austin vs St. Louis City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Austin v St. Louis City — Team-Based Signals
Austin vs St. Louis City Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
6-3
HT 2-0
Austin
ABD
2-3
HT 1-1
St. Louis City
ABD
Austin 1-3 St. Louis City — Actual Match Statistics
St. Louis City got the better of Austin 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.
Our pre-match lean was Austin at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) came in.
On the day, Austin had 56% of the ball to St. Louis City's 44%, shots finished 15-23, expected goals 0.98 to 2.70.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, St. Louis City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Austin and 2.40 for St. Louis City.
What was the final score of Austin vs St. Louis City?
Austin 1-3 St. Louis City in the USA - Major League on 05/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Austin vs St. Louis City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Austin win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Austin 45%, draw 27%, St. Louis City 28%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Austin) went the other way.